A few days ago, the reporter learned from analysts in the refined oil market that, with the rebound of international crude oil prices, the domestic refined oil price adjustment window will open on the 9th. It is initially expected that the range of gasoline and diesel will increase by RMB 80-120/t. Converted into liters, increase the range by 0.6-0.9 for gasoline and 0.7-1 for diesel.
According to reports, since April 17th when both Brent oil prices and New York oil prices hit record lows during the year, international oil prices have shown an oscillating rebound. Recently, the price of Brent futures has risen by US$5.51/barrel for three consecutive days, and WTI prices have also risen by US$5.13/bbl, driving the domestic product oil market sentiment to pick up and the current round of refined oil products are expected to increase. According to the Treasure Island Mass Product e-commerce platform monitoring, as of May 7 reference crude oil varieties (Brent, Brent Dtd, Dubai, ESPO) average price of 101.872 US dollars / barrel, a rate of change of 1.43%.
Treasure Island energy industry analyst Han Jingyuan believes that with the geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, market investors are concerned about the supply of oil production areas, the international oil price rose in a row, the domestic refined oil price adjustment window will be opened on the 9th, and in 10 Early morning cash, initially expected gasoline and diesel to increase by 80-120 yuan / ton.
On May 7th, the average price of 93# gasoline produced by PetroChina and Sinopec in the 26 major domestic cities monitored by Zhongyu Information Service in the field of comprehensive services for bulk goods was RMB 9,037/ton, up RMB 1/ton from the previous day; The average price of No. 3 diesel oil was RMB 7,793/ton, up RMB 4/ton from the previous day.
Zhongyu Information Analyst Wang Jintao believes that the current retail price adjustment of refined oil is about RMB 60/ton, but due to the price adjustment of RMB 50/ton near the red line, whether the current round of price adjustment stays on the horizon will depend on the price of the next two days. Crude oil trend.
According to the new pricing mechanism for refined oil, when prices for gasoline and diesel are lower than or equal to 50 yuan per ton, this is equivalent to less than 5 cents per litre. In order to save social costs, retail prices will not be adjusted for the time being. The cumulative or offset at the next price adjustment.
Chen Ching, an analyst at Zhuochuang Information, believes that in the next two working days, affected by various positive factors, it is expected that international oil prices will continue to increase, and the rate of change in a basket of crude oil is expected to rise further. However, in the long run, the manufacturing of major economies continues to shrink and the pressure on U.S. crude oil inventories continues unabated. The rate of increase in international oil prices will not be too large, and the rate of change in a package of crude oil will be within 1.5% within 10 working days. Therefore, the corresponding increase in domestic refined oil will be within 100 yuan/ton.
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